One number, checked
Each initiative is scored from the angles below. Lighthouse combines them and shows you which one disagreed.
Delivery confidence
Are milestones and progress hitting their dates?
Capacity confidence
Do the squads have the hours?
Data confidence
How fresh and complete the numbers are.
Financial confidence
Is spend tracking to plan?
Governance confidence
Gates passed, approvals recorded, dependencies acknowledged.
Scenario confidence
The best alternative plan from your scenarios.
Pre-mortem confidence
Lighty imagines the initiative failing and names the top 3 reasons.
Simulated finish
Thousands of simulated plans to find a realistic finish date.
Reported confidence
What the PM said in their last update.
Example. “Apollo” reports 78% delivery confidence. Lighthouse checks it against the work and drops it to 52%: the squad is at 145% utilisation and a vendor risk was never recorded.
Catches contradictions
Every steering pack is checked for contradictions like these.
Reported healthy, but capacity is at 145%.
A 28-week initiative with 4 weeks of plan.
An overdue milestone with green confidence.
Reporting on people who aren’t allocated.
A dependency that is silently broken.
A steering pack built on a baseline older than the last reset.
Scenario confidence far better than the live plan.
Two measures more than 30 points apart.
A stage-gate decision that was never recorded.
Before
Apollo: 78% confidence, on track
Capacity is at 145% and nobody flagged it. The PM’s update stands.
After
Apollo: Lighthouse sees 52%, capacity contradicts what was reported
The pack shows the contradiction next to the number.
Decision audit trail
Every Lighty recommendation, every call you make and every outcome is logged per initiative.
Why this matters. When someone asks why you chose a path, you have a row, not a screenshot of a Slack thread.
Blocks bad packs
A steering pack is only marked “ready to share” when the numbers add up.
Ready to share
The numbers agree. Take it to your board.
With caveats
Mostly aligned. The caveats are printed so you can answer the question first.
Not ready to share
The numbers contradict each other. Fix them, then re-run.
Why this matters. A bad board meeting costs weeks of recovery. Exports are blocked for packs that aren’t ready.
See it on your own data.
It runs on every steering pack.